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Createel International Limited

Name: Createel International Limited
Address: Tianjin, CN
Telephone: +86 15602135951

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14/09/2026

[SEP 14, 2026] STEEL PIPE PRICE TREND
Favorable Factors:
1. Recent talks about major infrastructure projects are giving the broader market a nice little sentiment boost.
2. Mills are keeping their lines running smoothly, which means a steady flow of materials for pipe makers.

Adverse Factors:
1. Downstream buyers are really pushing back against high prices, so they are buying cautiously and sales are slowing down.
2. The costs for raw materials like strip steel and scrap are dropping, taking away some of the price support for finished pipes.
3. Inventories keep piling up in the market, showing that demand is soft and goods are moving slower.

Outlook:
With raw material costs falling and buyers staying on the sidelines, pipe prices will likely stay under pressure for now. Everyone is just waiting for a clearer sign before making any big moves.

07/09/2026

[SEP 07, 2026] STEEL PIPE PRICE TREND
Favorable Factors:
1. Certain strip steel production lines have been shut down and exited the market, which helps reduce overall raw material supply and eases oversupply concerns.
2. Lower raw material costs provide downstream pipe manufacturers with better profit margins when restocking inventory.
3. Strict cash-settlement policies help steel mills improve their cash flow and financial health during this adjusting period.

Adverse Factors:
1. Strip steel and hot rolled coil exit prices have been broadly reduced, directly weakening the cost support for finished welded pipes.
2. Continuous price cuts from upstream mills reflect sluggish end-user demand and strong wait-and-see sentiment among buyers.
3. Aggressive price competition among mills trying to secure orders is dragging the overall market valuation lower.

Outlook:
With raw material costs continuing to slide and end-market demand remaining soft, the cost support for ERW black steel pipes is fading. Buyers are adopting a cautious approach, so prices are likely to remain under downward pressure in the near term as the market searches for a new bottom.

31/08/2026

[AUG 31, 2026] STEEL PIPE PRICE TREND

Favorable Factors:
1. Raw material costs surged — coke multiple hikes, coking coal futures rallied, iron ore firmed — lifting the cost floor for pipe prices.
2. Supply tightened as mills cut output amid production controls, strengthening pricing power.
3. Policy support (capacity curbs, infrastructure plans) reinforced market confidence.
4. Peak season anticipation boosted futures-led sentiment.

Adverse Factors:
1. End-user demand stayed weak, with buyers sticking to hand-to-mouth procurement.
2. Elevated inventories kept traders focused on destocking, capping price upside.
3. Rapid price gains triggered buyer resistance, introducing near-term consolidation risk.

Outlook: FOB prices expected to edge higher on cost-supply-policy support, but weak demand and inventory overhang will keep gains moderate.

24/08/2026

[AUG 24, 2026] STEEL PIPE PRICE TREND
Favorable Factors:
1. Raw material costs are climbing, as upstream billet and hot-rolled strip prices continue to trend upward, providing strong cost support for pipe manufacturers.
2. Market sentiment is getting a boost from mainstream product price hikes, giving mills the confidence to hold and push up their quotations.

Adverse Factors:
1. End-user demand remains sluggish, with downstream buyers sticking to just-in-time purchasing and overall transaction volumes staying thin.
2. Traders are operating cautiously due to high inventory pressure and a supply-heavy market, prioritizing destocking over aggressive price increases.

Outlook:
ERW black steel pipe FOB prices are expected to edge higher this week. While rising raw material costs will keep pushing the price floor upward, the lack of robust end-user demand means any upward movement will likely be moderate and closely watched by cautious market participants.

17/08/2026

[AUG 17, 2026] STEEL PIPE PRICE TREND
Favorable Factors:
1. Mill inventories are staying relatively low, giving pipe manufacturers the leverage to push up ex-factory prices even when downstream demand is soft.
2. Raw material costs for hot-rolled strip steel and steel billets have shown resilience, creating a solid cost floor that supports the upward movement of finished pipe prices.
3. Upstream producers are actively planning to raise output prices, driven by sustained billet costs and strategic supply control.

Adverse Factors:
1. Downstream procurement remains highly cautious with sluggish trading volumes, which limits the actual ex*****on of price hikes at the retail level.
2. Seasonal weather conditions and a traditional off-peak period are restricting outdoor construction projects, keeping overall demand quite weak.
3. Profit margins for pipe processing are narrowing, forcing many enterprises to operate strictly on a just-in-time production basis to avoid financial risks.

Outlook:
Despite the ongoing weakness in downstream demand and sluggish trading activity, the combination of low mill inventories and resilient raw material costs is driving an upward trend for ERW black steel pipe prices this week. However, the actual price gains might face resistance at the consumer end, leading to a scenario where prices trend higher but with limited momentum as the market navigates between cost support and weak consumption.

10/08/2026

[AUG 10, 2026] STEEL PIPE PRICE TREND
Favorable Factors:
1. Raw material costs for hot rolled strip steel have shown minor fluctuations, providing a stable baseline for pipe manufacturing expenses.
2. Steel futures have experienced slight recoveries, which helps stabilize market sentiment and prevents aggressive price drops.
3. Pipe mills are maintaining steady production without concentrated shutdowns, ensuring a reliable supply chain for ongoing projects.

Adverse Factors:
1. Downstream demand remains notably weak, with end-users only making minimal necessary purchases due to cautious market attitudes.
2. Adverse weather conditions in key regions have restricted outdoor construction and infrastructure activities, slowing down overall consumption.
3. Social inventory is accumulating slightly while traders actively compress their stock levels to avoid potential downward price risks.

Outlook:
Given the current balance of weak downstream demand and steady but fragile raw material costs, ERW black steel pipe FOB prices are likely to remain flat in the near term. Market participants will probably stick to conservative operations until a clearer demand recovery emerges.

03/08/2026

[AUG 03, 2026] STEEL PIPE PRICE TREND
Favorable Factors:
1. Steel billet prices showed signs of stabilization recently, providing a temporary floor for raw material costs.
2. Some local pipe mills maintained steady output prices despite broader market declines, indicating a reluctance to aggressively cut margins.

Adverse Factors:
1. The traditional off-season continues to weigh heavily on downstream demand, with end-users only purchasing on a strict as-needed basis.
2. Raw material costs for hot-rolled strip and steel billets have been trending downward, weakening the cost support for finished pipes.
3. Market sentiment remains cautious, leading to slow inventory turnover and increasing stockpiling pressure among traders.

Outlook:
Given the persistent weak demand and fading cost support, ERW black steel pipe prices are likely to remain under pressure in the near term, with the overall market trend pointing downward.

20/07/2026

[JUL 20, 2026] STEEL PIPE PRICE TREND
Favorable Factors:
1. Strip steel prices rebounded midweek then stabilized — cost support holding firm
2. China keeps a sharp price edge over Japan and Turkey in global export market — buyer interest sustained
3. Global manufacturing PMI still in expansion zone — downstream steel demand has a floor

Adverse Factors:
1. EU new steel import rules now live — quota nearly halved, out-of-quota tariff doubled, European orders taking a hit
2. Multiple countries rolling out anti-dumping probes against Chinese steel — market access shrinking
3. Peak summer off-season — domestic demand sluggish, mills running at a loss
4. CBAM Phase 2 batch-level carbon reporting kicked in — extra compliance cost piling up

Outlook:
FOB edges up slightly on firmer raw material costs and a stronger dollar. But gains stay capped by summer demand weakness and tightening trade barriers on multiple fronts. Expect prices to hold in a narrow range next week with limited upside.

14/07/2026

[JUL 13, 2026] STEEL PIPE PRICE TREND
Favorable Factors:
1. Strip steel prices held steady — cost support remains stable
2. Mills deepening maintenance cuts to defend margins — supply discipline helps hold the price floor

Adverse Factors:
1. Summer demand remains sluggish — high temps and rain keep end-user buying thin
2. Inventory keeps building at mills and traders — supply pressure weighs on sentiment
3. ASEAN mills slashing HRC prices — competitive pressure squeezes Chinese export offers

Outlook:
Market stuck in a narrow range — supply cuts provide a floor but demand can't break through. Expect FOB to hold steady near current levels next week with limited movement either way.

06/07/2026

[JULY 06, 2026] STEEL PIPE PRICE TREND

Favorable Factors:
1. Mills cutting output to defend margins — supply discipline supports price floor
2. Raw material prices show signs of stabilization — cost floor prevents further FOB erosion

Adverse Factors:
1. Yuan remains soft against USD — weak CNY keeps dragging FOB pricing lower
2. Strip steel prices near recent lows — limited cost-push momentum for FOB upside
3. Off-season demand in full swing — downstream buyers holding back, thin transactions
4. EU safeguard quota cut 47% effective July 1 — European market access sharply reduced
5. CBAM carbon costs now in payment phase — adds extra cost layer on top of 50% tariff

Outlook:
FOB likely to stay flat with slight downside bias next week — raw material shows no strong upward momentum and off-season demand shows no sign of picking up. Yuan softness continues to cap dollar pricing, while EU trade barriers keep squeezing export margins. Mill supply discipline should prevent a sharp drop.

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+86 15602135951

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